Monday 13 February 2017

Feb 13, 2017 - Q4 Earnings - Week 5

Q4 Earnings – Week 2017-02-12

Based on the earnings release the Q4 season easily qualifies as the best of the last six years. Despite all turbulence in the markets, post-US elections volatility, renewed optimism above US corporate world the higher USD and lower prices of oil are having weaker impact on corporate profits and revenues. The EBITDA and revenue growth are back to black and is likely the growth trend will continue well into 2017. But let’s have a look what names report this week:


AIG – market is expecting higher profit after not very perfect 2015

PepsiCo – as for Coca-Cola the stronger USD, recent slowdown and changing underlying consumers’ behaviour effect the company results. More and more people search for healthier food and beverages and is also topped from regulation side by few changes in labelling the products and adding warnings about negative effects of sugars. On the other hand the higher prices of some of its products and better demand for healthier products can be supportive. While going into earnings release bear in mind that company is above its peers in terms of various metrics. Expectations are for revenue growth of 5% and EPS growth of 9%, both y/y.

Cisco – the company seems to have a hard time to turn the business upside down and enter new but fast growing and profitable business of datacenter and internet of things playing field, cloud and security. As it is stuck for now to its core traditional business the revenue is to decline 3% and EPS 2%, both y/y. The comparison with peers shows us the company is below the average.

Nestle – investors are curious about new CEO and his direction and focus (nutrition and pharmaceutical part). All of that will be watched apart from revenue that is expected to growth 2% y/y and EPS to decline 3% y/y.  The company is suffering from an ongoing slowdown and emerging markets may put additional pressure if the economic rebound in Q4 was not translated into higher revenue for Nestle. From a perspective of comparison with its peers, it is worth to look at the company valuation and price actions (charts) as it has underperformed lately.

GoldCorp – to report higher profit as the price of gold moved higher

Restaurant Brands International – new restaurant opening and changes to menus should prompt the profits higher. Just wondering how the owner of Burger King and Tim Hortons can lure the customers in other countries.

TMX Group – to show pick up in profits and revenue from volatile trading across Canadian equities, derivatives and energy

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries – to report by has already warned about weaker 2016/2017 results. The generic producers is under heavy load of debt (from Actavis acquisition), weak US market and some not perfect management decisions.

TransCanada Corp – markets are expecting better results on higher shipping volumes of gas and oil. What will not fly by unnoticed will be the update on XL Keystone pipeline.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings – should benefit form better bookings of more expensive rooms despite business travel decline

Deere & Co – lower commodity prices of agricultural products to have negative impact on company results

Bombardier – to report smaller loss than last year (USD 673 mln). The impact of CSeries program still present.

Name
Exchange
Date
Estimated EPS
EPS growth y/y
Estimated Revenue
Noble Energy
US
Mon
-0.10
1,000
TMX Group
CA
Mon
1.12
0.184
AIG
US
Tue
0.34
131.1%
12,871
Heineken
NL
Wed
1.99
8.3%
10,477
Credit Agricole
FR
Wed
0.22
-30.2%
4,416
Air Liquide
FR
Wed
2.73
-2.0%
10,426
Danone
FR
Wed
1.58
5,410
PepsiCo
US
Wed
1.16
9.2%
19,535
Cisco Systems
US
Wed
0.56
-1.6%
11,534
Kraft Heinz
US
Wed
0.88
41.8%
6,755
GoldCorp
CA
Wed
0.13
1,080
AirFrance-KLM
FR
Thu
Nestle
CH
Thu
1.74
24,396
Schneider Electric
FR
Thu
2.29
16.4%
12,794
TransCanada
CA
Thu
0.72
12.7%
3,480
Charter Communications
US
Thu
1.07
185.8%
10,229
Duke Energy
US
Thu
0.81
-6.7%
5,892
Allianz
GE
Fri
3.66
22.8%
27,547
Enbridge
CA
Fri
0.58
20.0%
9,584
Deere & Co
US
Fri
0.53
-34.1%
4,675

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk



DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmail.com

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