Tuesday 13 June 2017

June 13, 2017 - (Trade Idea) Short GBPUSD - medium/long term, targeting new low

Hi,

 Right after UK CPI I mentioned on Twitter I took small, short position ( risking 0,15% ).



 What is my thinking ( come on great UK CPI number , why the heck you are short ? ):
 1. Highest UK CPI Since June 2013 would be great for GBP with „normal” economic growth. The thing is that we have high inflation based on weak pound and not because of the economic growth.

 2. There wont be „soft” Brexit In my opinion .

 3. Daily chart/ one of the strategy could support that view:



 4. FOMC and Yellen - dovish hike is priced in, looking for stronger dollar in a months ahead

 I gone short @1,2707 with stop 30pips above pre UK election high targeting…. Well something around 1,15/1,13 ( risking 0,15% for now ). Im ready to reopen that short ( under current mkt conditions In case of stop put risking 0,3% )

The another way could be GBPUSD PUT option expiry In late November with strike price In half way of target , for ex ample:




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Happy Trading

Mr Price Action

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