Friday 23 June 2017

June 23, 2017 - Market Update (Tough on Qatar, Soros: UK & EU may remarry, Morgan Stanley moving to Frankfurt/Dublin, Biotech on fire, FX option ruling EURUSD, USDJPY, Bonds on summer vacation)

Short recap

Asia flat
Europe opening lower
Tough conditions for Qatar to comply within 10 days
Will spur the risk off
Carlyle Group – Fed to keep hiking, no problem from higher rates
Soros on "Brexit In Reverse" - if all goes well UK & EU may remarry even before divorce  link
North Korea firing again


Equities

Morgan Stanley to move EU HQ and broker-dealer operations to Frankfurt and asset management to Dublin
Airbus & Boeing to face competition from RU, CN and JP in the future
Qatar Airways looking to buy 10% of American Airlines
US House not happy with Deutsche Bank’s rejection to share information about Trump’s finances with respect to Russia investigation
Biggest US banks passed the stress test
Biotech on fire without any particular reason
Index breaking through strong resistance
Few names to check: Gilead Sciences, AbbVie, CSL, Biogen, Amgen, Shire, Genmab, Celgene, Regeneron, Vertex, Alexion, Incyte (first three worth of looking at)
BlackBerry reporting Q1 earnings with focus on turnaround
Bombardier cutting more than 2k jobs in GE
Tesla to build a factory in China
Foxconn planning a USD 10 bln display factory in US

Bonds

10-yr Trys yield at 2.16% - not reacting to Bullard, more focussing on balance sheet reduction
10-yr Bund yield at 0.26% - no change from yesterday

EURUSD

No clear direction
Still stuck close to large option expiries strike levels within 1.1100-1200 range
Next week there are not that many, so we should be able to see a bit more moves
Expiring today EUR 1.97 bln at 1.1190-1200
Market watching interest rates differentials and ECB/Fed speakers
Next resistance at 1.1187 (23.6% Fibo)
10 DMA at 1.1175

Gold

Consolidating towards 1255 (50.0% Fibo)
Support from 100 DMA at 1249
Seen some risk off flows from energy
As prices of oil are very vulnerable on OPEC (in)action

Data/Events

ECB’s Draghi at European Council meeting
Fed’s Bullard (1515 GMT)
Fed’s Mester (1640 GMT)
Fed’s Powell (1815 GMT)

Should you have any questions feel free to contact me anytime.

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk



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