Showing posts with label Allianz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Allianz. Show all posts

Friday, 17 February 2017

Feb 17, 2017 - Market Update

Short recap

Asian stocks pausing
Samsung VP in custody over bribery, shares down only 1% as the company has good track record in coming back from troubles
Oil found support in talks about OPEC extending its production cut (now 6 month only)
ECB Minutes showing possibility of capital key adjustments what benefits peripherals a lot
French yields lower after seeing huge demand for 2028 bond issue yesterday


Trump at the end of his marketing cycle, starting campaigning again over the weekend
Ryan (speaker of the House of Representatives) having troubles to push tax reform to republicans
Trump at joint-session of Congress on Feb 28 presenting his agenda, looking at cutting corporate tax to 15% but Republicans resistant and open to 25% only as their fear of increasing the debt ceiling again what will have implications on US credit rating
No clear expectations of his agenda for now, either he disappoints or makes it

Allianz ready for buy backs worth of EUR 3 bln and adjusting budget for takeover activities
Deutsche Boerse – LSE acquisition process spiced up by allegation of DB CEO from insider trading
Snap IPO – owner of Snapchat to start investor roadshow on Monday, lowering target valuation of the company
Germany supports Peugeot-Citroen takeover of Opel/Vauxhall on no planned job cuts or factory closings

JP Morgan, BoAML, Citigroup proposing publicly to easy anti-money laundering rules as they are ineffective
Blackstone buying Cloudreach that is active in cloud computing business
OpenFin (financial software developer) raising USD 15 mln from JP Morgan, DRW Trading group (high-speed trading firm) and NEX Group (interdealer broker)

Saturday, US VP Mike Pence to reassure allies in Europe and polish the wording Trump is using towards NATO and Russia

Data

Feb 20 – EZ FinMin meeting on Greece
Feb 28 – Trump at Congress (US stock investors should get ready for a correction if Trump disappoints; on the other hand they are still likely to find a pro-growth solution)
Mar 15 – FOMC
Mar 17-18 – G10 FinMin and central bankers meeting (right after FOMC)
…the period between Fed 28-Mar 15 would be interesting as Trump believes in weaker USD


EURSEK – seems to be heavy after Riksbank not delivering

Waiting for CPI

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk



DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom

Monday, 30 January 2017

Jan 30, 2017 - Market Update

Short recap

Asian stocks and US futures lower on Trump’s immigration restrictions
EU markets to open lower
Allianz eyeing Australia’s QBE Insurance as a takeover target
Italy – issuing new bonds (EUR 9 bln) today, watch for spreads with Bunds to widen or not


US economy slowed as we saw wider trade gap due to a drop in soybean exports but steady consumer spending and rise in business investments to support the outlook
Gold had poor performance despite weaker USD
Equities moving higher but more noise to come in the short term
VIX printing new five year lows creating divergence between equities and other asset classes

Commitments of Traders (COT) as of Jan 24:
EUR – net short positions down to 4-month low on USD selling
Bonds – funds going long for a second week, while being short stocks – are they getting ready for a risk off market correction?
WTI – new record longs
Commodities in general – new longs, highest since 2014
  
Data

Trump euphoria fading from the market this week as we have busy data calendar US/Non US

Eurozone Business Climate Indicator (Dec) to reach new highs
US consumer spending growth (Dec) to accelarateprojected to accelerate
US Home Sales (Dec) to suffer from higher prices and low inventories Wednesday FOMCFriday US NFPsGood luck Champs!
 Mr Hawk
    DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. 

Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom