Showing posts with label Hollande. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hollande. Show all posts

Monday, 21 November 2016

Nov 21, 2016 - Why Angela Merkel will win German elections in 2017 and become the Chancellor for the fourth time?

Simply, because of the change, so no surprise here.


-          She seems to be tired and not bringing anything new but it may be her advantage as Europe desperately needs stability, experience and leadership at this time.

-          Europe needs her as a symbol of stability after few rounds of Greek crisis, ongoing rise of populism in Europe and around the world of which the last proof is Donald Trump becoming the US president. Without the experienced leader, stability, pragmatism and realistic view Europe cannot reinvent itself.

-          All of that is happening when her close allay on international scene Barrack Obama is leaving White House, the UK has no idea how to pursue with Brexit, French president Francois Hollande is not very popular (nicely said) and Marine Le Pen is gaining support on international scene and of course not to forget about Russian president Vladimir Putin who is actively working on creating the chaos and split between Western leaders.

-          Europe needs an experienced leader who can deal with problems like refugees crisis as well as to face the unpredictability that may come from Washington in terms of security and protectionism.

-          Her strength as well as weakness lies in her being the last one who can defend the basic principles of liberalism and free trade. She is very pragmatic and sometimes invisible, what is a good contrast to populists, like those who pushed the UK to Brexit situation.

Angela Merkel’s victory can bring the hope for a change on the continent.


Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk




DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom

Nov 21, 2016 - Why Trump, Putin and Erdogan are good for Europe?

Simply, because of the changeEurope needs to redefine itself in the field of:


-         Whether to continue with a closer cooperation or return some of the decision making powers back to national governments. We believe going back is not the smartest move as it would lead to fragmentation and loss of benefits of common market.

-          Security and military perspective – still growing threats from Russia and terrorism will lead to redefining and creation of EU army and closer police cooperation. All of that is also happening in the light of Donald Trump becoming the US president and questioning the role of NATO especially, in Eastern Europe.

-          Uncontrolled immigration and external borders protection – is the deal with Turkey really good for EU? The EU must have a full control of its borders as it is not possible for thousands of refugees to freely move across the continent. Also having a deal with the antidemocratic leader doesn’t bode well for democratic values.

-          Economic and international trade – well, as the EU is the largest market in the world as well as largest trading partner for China, definitely should benefit from it. It should also take advantage of its position on the back of likely upcoming protectionism from US side. Actually, the last week’s ASEAN meeting can be an interesting inspiration as Asian countries are open to closer cooperation without US. Why not to join such an initiative from EU side as well when Americans don’t want?

-          Increasing populism and nationalism in Europe – European public will have a unique chance to express their wishes in the upcoming referendum in Italy and elections in Austria, Netherlands, France, Germany, Czech Republic and Slovenia, and decide whether Europe should follow the path of irresponsible promises without accountability. The only thing EU needs right now is pragmatism and leadership what leads us to German elections and Sunday’s official announcement of Angela Merkel to run for a Chancellor again.


Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk




DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom