Thursday, 25 January 2018

Jan 25, 2018 - Market Update (Trump up, Mnuchin down but market is concerned about who will buy US debt; ECB - just up is a problem but Draghi likely not to say anything again); EURUSD set to check 1.2500; Weaker USD good for equities; Gold - make or brake the 1380, then 1484...?; BofA with most blockchain patents; Qualcomm fined USD 1.2 bln by EU; Mexican drug cartels stealing fuel

Short recap Asia mixed to lower Europe opening lower Trump a year ago – USD strength means confidence in US and his presidency Mnuchin yesterday – USD weakness good for US economy …and market took it as a future direction of US policy In other words the US trade war has begun and weak USD is part of it Market is concerned about widening current account deficit...

Thursday, 18 January 2018

Jan 18, 2018 - Market Update (Apple with USD 38 bln tax bill, bringing home USD 250 bln; Renault-Nissan a king over Volkswagen; Goldman Sachs dropping bond trading?; GE still on short side; Junk bonds spreads at record lows, China/Japan getting rid of Trys - nothing new; USDRUB floor between 55.70-56.00; Brent having hard time to stay above USD 70 mark; Biggest Bitcoin mines in China)

Short recap Asia hitting record levels Europe opening higher on bullish sentiment from US and Asia  China growing too fast with respect to economic and pollution standards Trump fighting back China with intellectual property breaches (likely getting ready for Davos) Loud calls for EZ reform with new fiscal rules (GE) and joint safe assets (FR) Equities Cyber security...

Monday, 15 January 2018

Jan 15, 2018 - Market Update (USD hit by non-US monetary tightening, No Bitcoin ETFs/mutual funds (for now), Bulls at extreme levels, SoftBank to list mobile biz, EUR longs up again, EURUSD to consolidate today, Gold to attack 2017 high at 1357, facing 1357-1375 range resistance)

Short recap Asia in green Europe opening higher Trumps racist comments are dangerous in general And can also change the behaviour of the public Thus hurting the consumption habits, investments and economy FR and GE looking at EZ investment budget/reforms USD hit by markets pricing monetary policy tightening in other developed countries Bitcoin ETF Fast Track...

Thursday, 11 January 2018

Jan 11, 2018 - Market Update (Crytpos getting hit in SoKo, Chinese like Trys anyway, 10-yr Trys yields holds above 2.50% despite China/BoJ, USDJPY looking towards 110.00 ?, VIX above 10 but still very low, Bayer hoarding cash by selling more Covestro, Aramco seeking cheap loans ahead of IPO, PIMCO to buy more Trys on recent weakness, SNB with profit of USD 55 bln)

Short recap Asian in red as stocks getting nervous, VIX above 10 Europe opening lower Cryptos – SoKo preparing a trading ban, tax authorities cracking on some exchanges China – halt of Trys buying based on wrong info (I like it as some made a nice money..) US attacking NAFTA, opting for more protectionism While French Macron signing nice contracts in China Equities Volatility still...

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Jan 8, 2018 – Weekly Commodity – Commodity Index rebalancing may bring corrections this week

The second week of the year is usually about Commodity Index rebalancing. During this process Commodity Index funds adjust their portfolios to those indices they follow. This often results in buying the worse performing commodities and selling the high performers. Some commodities may see a short term bounce or drop but without fundamental support any correction will be short...