A great week for traders is behind, the volatility
finally arrived to the commodity markets and more sectors had nice moves during
this period. The biggest movers were in the Energy sector were oil and
distillates joined the falling natural gas as the updated 2018/19 predictions
of increasing US production surprised the markets. The Agri sector had on the
other hand nice upside moves caused by weather worries.
Oil
The EIA last week surprised markets with increased
estimates of oil production for 2018 and also 2019 by 320 and 330k bpd
respectively. According to the updated estimates the US reached 10M bpd oil
production already in the first week of February. This was more than 300k bpd
more than a week before. The news triggered intensive selling but from the COT
data covering positioning until end of Tuesday trading the reduction of
speculative longs wasn’t significant. However the second half of the week
probably brought some additional long covering. Technically the H&S pattern
on daily WTI crude chart worked perfectly brining 5 dollars per barrel profit
for short sellers. WTI closed the week below the psychological $60 level and
now markets are eying the weekly inventories and the IEA monthly report (to be
released on Tuesday) for more direction.
Corn
Sugar
Good Luck and remember to watch your risk and be
consistent
Mr. Tech Man
DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational
purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and
current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice
and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material
cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where
despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment
advice. All rights reserved ©2016-2018.
Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom, Blog:
landoftrading.blogspot.com
Mr. Tech Man
Posts
Making a challenge required to test the main factor for a various things in the market to set the new level.
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