Wednesday 22 November 2017

Nov 22, 2017 - Market Update (US rate curve flattening on corporate and pension fund investors interest, Hong Kong above 30 000, US not comfortable with free and open internet, USDJPY condemned to 112.00-50 range ahead of US/JP holidays, Enel going digital, RBC too big to fail since yesterday, If early elections in Germany not before end of Q1 2018)


Short recap

Asian in green
Europe opening higher


If new elections in Germany, not before end of Q1 2018
Thus prolonging the uncertainty but EUR is indifferent, as it was the case with some other coalition talks in EU
US to take down the free and open internet
Giving the service providers possibility to choose what content the users will access
Lacklustre trading ahead of US and JP holidays

Equities

Hong Kong index breaching 30 000 on continuation of risk and strong earnings
Enel increasing spending on digital networks to ready for end user intelligent solutions
RBC on a global list of too big to fail, thus will need to hold extra capital (+1%)
Rio Tinto, Wealth Minerals and GSR Capital to bid for SQM that is a lithium producer
EU digital tax still an issue for some EU states

Bonds

10-yr Trys yield at 2.36%

US yield curve keeps flattening what is a very interesting development we have pointed to recently
Very likely it is related to US tax reform implications as pension funds load the bonds due to:
Corporates increasing the funding of pension schemes before next year further rise in US rates
And pension fund investors also making contributions as they may lose some tax exemptions next year with new reform in place

10-yr Bund yield at 0.34%

Situation in Turkey not helping sovereign and bank bonds
As investors prefer safer assets

EURUSD

German politics a focus
Support around 1.1710, 1.1734 (10 DMA)
Resistance range 1.1755/60/65 where are 55 & 100 DMA, 38.2% Fibo and yesterday’s high

USDJPY

Lower US yields and yield flattening pushing JPY higher
Decent offers seen above 112.50 with expiring options
112.44 (100 HMA) 112.47 (55 DMA)
Bids sitting at 112.00 with USD 1.4 bln option expiring with strike at this level
Support also from 100 & 200 DMA (around 111.70 level) and 111.90 (38.2% Fibo)



Source: Saxo Bank

Data/events

ECB Governing Council (no interest rate announcement)
FOMC Minutes

Thu

ECB Minutes
US Thanksgiving – markets closed
JP Labour Thanksgiving day

Fri

US bond trading closed, stocks open half day

Nov 28 – Powell before Senate Banking Committee
Nov 30 – OPEC meeting
Dec 13 – FOMC
Dec 14 – ECB
Dec 14-15 – EU Summit talking Brexit




Should you have any questions feel free to contact me anytime.

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk




DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom

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