Feb 14, 2017 - Market Update

Short recap

EU markets opening lower

Oil staying range bound on OPEC cut compliance vs non-OPEC production rising

The cut primarily by Saudis only

WTI very range bound 52-54/54.50

Negative bias on US shale oil production rise prevails in the market

Another blow to Trump after immigration ban legal issues as his security advisor Flynn was forced to resign on allegation of discussing lifting sanctions against Russia before Trump becoming officially a president

Trump not looking at major trade overhaul with Canada, likely just few adjustments here and there (marketing wise likely)

Lloyds Banking Group close to moving its EU operations to Berlin in order to keep access to single market

Apple at record highs on expectations of better sales figures from new iPhone (10^th anniversary) launch and customer demand

Closed at USD 133.29, what brings its market value toUSD 699.3 bln

All time high at USD 134.54 (Apr 2015)

Ivanka Trump branded production being dropped more and more

EURUSD below 21 DMA

Below rising medium term support line (now at 1.0620) connecting lows of Mar/Dec 2015

Through 38.2% Fibo

Next ones of interest are 1.0585 and 1.0530

Below just cycle low around 1.0340

Should we start to talk about parity on political risks in EU and yields divergence again?

Yellen definitely needs to confirm the Fed’s hawkishness

If she confirms 3 rate hikes this year, starting in June may be too late

Bear in mind that she might be geopolitical risk sensitive

US 10-yr Trys yield steady at 2.43%

10-yr Bunds yield steady at 0.33%

Data

GE: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index – to print slightly lower

US: Small Business Optimism Index – to print slightly lower after strong Dec

China PPI up to 6.9% y/y

Is it going to push EZ prices higher?

Fed can reach its 2% inflation target pretty soon as US imports cost more and rising prices for service are more evident.

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk

DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom