Thursday, 6 April 2017

Apr 6, 2017 - Market Update

Short recap

Asia down on Fed planning to reduce its balance sheet while more doubts about Trump ability to deliver fiscal stimulus makes rounds in the markets
Saw strength in JPY, VIX and USDJPY vols sharply higher, AUDJPY on the short side
Europe opening lower


Draghi was just out – Monetary policy still appropriate, reassessment not warranted at this stage, still need to build sufficient confidence, not having enough evidence to change inflation forecast

FOMC Minutes – Fed officials seriously discussed the shrinking of balance sheet with possible start at the end of 2017 but not sure whether through direct sales or not reinvesting maturing papers
ADP numbers confirmed strong underlying hiring trend by US companies
Trump expressed himself that Asad crossed the red line in chemical attack on civilians
But haven’t specified anything more (seems like he is learning how to communicate…before meeting Xi today at least)
Toronto house prices up 33% on a year with average price around CAD 916k per property
Sounds like a bubble

To watch global financials and credit for a potential upcoming correction

Monsanto reported better results helped by seeds of soybean and corn
AkzoNobel shareholders may go against the company in order to push for take over talks with PPG Industries
As mentioned yesterday after positive US antitrust ruling the EU officials approved the ChemChina takeover of Syngenta as well yesterday
Apple to control more the core technologies due to margins, further innovation and decrease dependence on 3rd party suppliers
Rockwell to buy B/E Aerospace (USD 6.4 bln)

Amazon looking to buy hydrogen fuel cell maker Plug Power

10-yr Trys yield at 2.34%
10-yr Bunds yield at 0.25%

Data

GE: Factory orders lower than expected
EZ: Retail PMI expected lower
US: Jobless Claims expected lower

ECB Praet (0730 GMT) Weidmann (0940 GMT), Constancio (1145 GMT) speaking
ECB Minutes (1130 GMT) - should provide more clarity either on market overraction or misjudgement of Draghi's speech

Trump to meet Chinese president (2 days)
G20 Econ ministers meeting
NATO foreign ministers meeting (2 days)

Fri:
US NFPs

Fed Speakers this week:
Fred Williams (today)
James Bullard

Apr 23 – French presidential elections

Apr 29 – EU Summit to sign off the Brexit negotiations guidelines – until then we won’t have clearer EU position on Brexit

May 7 – French presidential elections 2nd round


Should you have any questions feel free to contact me anytime.

Good luck Champs!

Mr Hawk



DISCLAIMER: This material was created for informational purposes only and represents the Land of Trading team’s view of the past and current economic and capital market environment. It is not an investment advice and should not be viewed that way at all, and the creators of this material cannot be held liable for any potential losses resulting from trading, where despite this disclaimer someone would consider this material as an investment advice. All rights reserved ©2016. Contact: landoftradingATgmailDOTcom

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